By Peter OBIORA InvestAdvocate
The World Bank Group Monday said that most of the world’s poorest people by 2030 will live in Africa according to Africa’s Pulse a twice-yearly analysis of the issues shaping Africa’s economic prospects.
The World Bank in its Africa’s Pulse said as Africa’s growth rates continue to surge with the region increasingly a magnet for investment and tourism, poverty and inequality remain unacceptably high and the pace of reduction unacceptably slow.
According to the report, almost one out of every two (2) Africans lives in extreme poverty today. “Optimistically, that rate will fall to between 16 percent (16%) and 30% by 2030,†the report said.
Also, the Africa’s Pulse said though African countries are now routinely among the fastest growing countries in the world.
It affirmed that economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) remains strong with growth forecasted to be 4.9% in 2013. And almost a third of countries in the region are growing at 6%.
The world bank Africa’s Pulse affirmed that buoyed by rising private investment in the region and remittances now worth US$33 billion a year supporting household incomes Gross Domestic Product (GDP), growth in Africa will continue to rise and pick up to 5.3% in 2014 and 5.5% in 2015. “Strong government investments and higher production in the mineral resources, agriculture and service sectors are supporting the bulk of the economic growth,†the report said.
The report further affirmed that as Africa’s growth rates continue to surge with the region increasingly a magnet for investment and tourism, poverty and inequality remain unacceptably high and the pace of reduction unacceptably slow.
According to Makhtar Diop, the World Bank Group’s Vice President for Africa sustaining Africa’s strong growth over the longer term while significantly reducing poverty and strengthening people’s resilience to adversity may prove difficult because of the many internal and external uncertainties African countries face
Diop said within Africa, natural disasters such as droughts and floods are occurring more frequently while the threat of conflict continues, with recent events in the Central African Republic and Mali reinforcing the need for peace, security, and development to take place at the same time.
“This is why the World Bank Group pledged US$1 billion in May this year to help bring peace and development back to Africa’s Great Lakes Region through better health and education services, more jobs and cross-border trade between the countries in the area, and more electricity. We will take this same message of peace, security, and development to the countries of the Sahel over the coming weeks,†Diop said.
The Africa’s Pulse said following the global financial crisis and recurring climatic volatility on the continent, a growing number of African countries are setting up social safety nets to protect the health and livelihoods of poor and vulnerable people during periods of adversity.
“Safety nets can protect families from the worst effects of crises and also contribute to growth as well by allowing people to raise their incomes,†the report said.
Also, the Africa’s Pulse noted that Africa’s rising growth is underpinned by strong private investment. Gross fixed capital formation in the region has steadily increased from about 16.4% of GDP in 2000 to about 20.4% in 2011. “The pickup in investment has directly contributed to economic growth and has also helped boost the productive capacity of the region’s economy,†the World Bank affirmed.
Also, the report said despite strong growth, Africa’s progress on ensuring that growth translates into considerably less poverty has been slow and hindered by high inequality.
Francisco Ferreira, Acting Chief Economist, World Bank Africa Region said Africa grew faster in the last decade than most other regions, but the impact on poverty is much less than we would’ve liked. “Africa’s growth has not been as powerful in reducing poverty as it could have been because of the high levels of inequality. Growth with equity is possible, but it requires a decline in inequality in both outcomes and opportunities,†says Ferreira.
According to him, tourism destinations continue to thrive throughout Africa: tourist arrivals to the region jumped 4% compared to the same period a year ago. Among the destinations for which quarterly data are available, the strongest performers in tourism were Cape Verde (up 18%), followed by the Seychelles (up 13%), South Africa (up 4%), Swaziland (up2%), and Mauritius (up 1%).
The Africa’s Pulse said that exports from Sub-Saharan Africa have remained concentrated in a few commodities such as oil, metals and minerals. “Throughout the region, countries have diversified their trading partners and the BRIC countriesâ€â€ÂChina, Brazil, Russia and India now account for 36% of the region’s exports. These exports reached US$144 billion in 2012, almost at the same level of Africa’s exports to the EU and the United States combined at US$148 billion,†the report said.
On his part, Punam Chuhan-Pole, Lead Economist of the World Bank’s Africa Region, and author of Africa’s Pulse said high dependence on one or a few commodities makes Africa’s resource-rich countries vulnerable to sharp movements in prices of these commodities.
According to Africa’s Pulse, as the continent moves closer to the center stage in the global fight against poverty, countries will need to invest in improving their weak statistical capacity to be able to better track and respond to their poverty and national account estimates.


