| How viable is Nigeria’s Net Zero target? According to carbonbrief.org, Nigeria was the world’s 25th biggest emitter of greenhouse gases in 2019, the second highest in Africa after South Africa. This narrative is set to change given its pledge at the COP26 climate summit in 2021 of a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions of 20% by 2030, when compared to “business-as-usual” levels. This pledge rises to 47% on the condition of international support. However, the nudging question on all our minds remains; How would the country wean itself off its addiction to fossils and fossil-based fuels? With a limited budget, fledging economy, stark energy poverty, and lack of access to the latest technology for scaled sustainable energy production, this may take some time to achieve. Indeed, Nigeria and other countries keen on revising the climate change threats are not naive about the baby steps ahead of full compliance with carbon-neutral energy production. According to McKinsey, countries pledging net-zero economies would require an estimated annual average spend of $9.2 trillion on physical assets. This required capital investment to execute this ambitious pivot is not entirely within reach of developing countries, like Nigeria, and this is where natural gas comes in. Natural gas is a naturally occurring mixture of gaseous hydrocarbons that are very efficient for energy-intensive utility but emits comparatively low levels of carbon dioxide compared to other fossils like Low Pour Fuel Oil (LPFO), diesel and coal. Mr. NJ Ayuk, Executive Chairman of the African Energy Chamber (AEC), believes getting the continent to increase the adoption and utilisation of its natural gas resources would eventually support and even accelerate progress toward the longer-term goal of transitioning away from fossil fuels. He argued that if these flared gases, which are significantly responsible for Africa’s carbon emissions, are appropriately gathered and used to address the continent’s extreme energy poverty, it will still contribute well below its counterparts to global carbon emissions. With natural gas being favourably trumpeted as the transition fuel toward the desired net-zero energy utility destination, Nigeria is best positioned to harness this natural resource for its people, energy supply and accelerated industrialisation. |