Tighter System Liquidity Expected to Bolster Yields

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Culled—Proshare

March 5, 2018/Afrinvest Research 

Last week, the Treasury Bills (“T-bills”) secondary market sustained its bullish performance for the second consecutive week on the back of improved system liquidity and buying interests across tenors. Consequently, rates declined 4bps W-o-W to close at 14.0% on Friday.

At the Primary Market Auction last week, the 91, 182 and 364-day bills were 1.0x, 1.0x and 5.5x oversubscribed respectively following an allotment of N130.0bn against a total subscription of N361.0bn. Due to improved system liquidity and higher subscription, stop rates across all tenors declined. The 91, 182 and 364-day rates fell to 11.85% (vs. 11.95%), 13.50% (vs. 13.65%) and 13.50% (vs 13.70%) respectively.

Please see available rates and tenor for today below:

MaturityTenor (Days)Rate (%) p.a.
12-Apr-183812.20
14-Jun-1810112.50
05-Jul-1812212.80
30-Aug-1817813.10
04-Oct-1821313.20
OMO Auction90 to 180 days12.00
OMO Auction180 t0 300 days13.50

Please note that rates are valid till 1:30pm today (05-Mar-18)

This week, an OMO maturity of N130.0bn is expected to hit the system. However, we expect yields in the T-bills secondary market to trend higher on the back of tighter system liquidity as the Apex Bank sustains its frequent OMO auction. 

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