Culled—Proshare
June 28, 2018/Zedcrest Capital
***World Bank Approves $2.1bn Project Support Loan for Nigeria***
KEY INDICATORS
| Inflation | 11.61% | Declined by 0.87% in May from 12.48% in April 2018 |
| MPR | 14.00% | Left unchanged at 14.00% at the MPC meeting 0n 4 April 2018 |
| External Reserves | $47.63billion | Rose by 0.42% as at 13 June from $47.43bn as at 7 June 2018 |
| Brent Crude | $77.48pb | Fell by 0.60% from $77.95pb on 27 June 2018 |
Bonds
The Bond market traded on a relatively mixed note, with some demand witnessed on the short end of the curve and slight sell on the medium to long end. Yields consequently compressed by c.7bps on average. We expect a relatively quiet trading session tomorrow, as market players wind up activities for the half year.
| FGN Bonds | |||
| Description | Bid (%) | Offer (%) | Day Change (%) |
| 16.00 29-Jun-19 | 12.62 | 11.77 | (0.36) |
| 15.54 13-Feb-20 | 13.00 | 12.08 | (0.22) |
| 14.50 15-Jul-21 | 13.54 | 13.34 | (0.09) |
| 16.39 27-Jan-22 | 13.60 | 13.17 | (0.14) |
| 14.20 14-Mar-24 | 13.54 | 13.25 | 0.00 |
| 12.50 22-Jan-26 | 13.98 | 13.82 | (0.03) |
| 16.29 17-Mar-27 | 13.86 | 13.73 | 0.05 |
| 13.98 23-Feb-28 | 13.97 | 13.78 | 0.04 |
| 12.15 18-Jul-34 | 14.02 | 13.90 | (0.03) |
| 12.40 18-Mar-36 | 14.07 | 13.93 | 0.02 |
| 16.2499 18-Apr-37 | 13.98 | 13.85 | 0.03 |
Source: Zedcrest Dealing Desk
Treasury Bills
Yields trended slightly higher in the T-bills space with some selloff witnessed on the short end of the curve as some market players were looking to generate liquidity for their month end cash positions. We also note that the CBN did not conduct an OMO auction in today’s session. This was in a bid to ease liquidity pressures in the system, as banks’ borrowings at the SLF hit a month to date high of N137bn in the previous session. We expect yields to remain relatively flat tomorrow, as a delay in FAAC disbursement means inflows may not hit the system as soon as expected.
| Treasury Bills | |||
| Description | Bid (%) | Offer (%) | Day Change (%) |
| 5-Jul-18 | 13.10 | 12.20 | (0.15) |
| 2-Aug-18 | 12.80 | 12.30 | 0.20 |
| 13-Sep-18 | 12.80 | 11.50 | 0.30 |
| 4-Oct-18 | 12.30 | 12.10 | (0.20) |
| 1-Nov-18 | 12.50 | 12.25 | 0.00 |
| 6-Dec-18 | 12.55 | 12.25 | 0.05 |
| 3-Jan-19 | 12.25 | 11.95 | (0.05) |
| 14-Feb-19 | 12.35 | 12.10 | 0.05 |
| 14-Mar-19 | 12.40 | 11.70 | 0.10 |
| 4-Apr-19 | 12.40 | 10.00 | 0.10 |
Source: Zedcrest Dealing Desk
Money Market
The OBB and OVN rates declined significantly to 14.50% and 15.25% respectively. This came on the back of inflows (c.N183bn) from OMO maturities which helped moderate funding pressures in the system. System liquidity is consequently estimated at c.N190bn on the back of the OMO inflows. We expect rates to remain relatively stable at these levels, barring a significant debit from the system by the CBN.
| Money Market Rates | ||
| Current (%) | Previous (%) | |
| Open Buy Back (OBB) | 14.50 | 48.33 |
| Overnight (O/N) | 15.25 | 52.58 |
Source: FMDQ, Zedcrest Research
FX Market
The Interbank rate remained stable at its previous rate of N305.75/$. The I&E FX rate fell back by 0.11% to N361.30/$. In the parallel market, cash and transfer rates remained stable at N360.00/$ and N364.00/$ respectively.
| FX Market | ||
| Current (N/$) | Previous ( N/$) | |
| CBN Spot | 305.75 | 305.75 |
| CBN SMIS | 330.00 | 330.00 |
| I&E FX Window | 361.30 | 360.91 |
| Cash Market | 360.00 | 360.00 |
| Transfer Market | 364.00 | 364.00 |
Source: CBN, FMDQ, REXEL BDC
Eurobonds:
The NGERIA Sovereigns traded on a slightly bearish note with yields ticking higher by c.2bps on average. We witnessed the most selloff on the 30s and 38s which fell by –0.50pt. We however witnessed sight buy interests on the Jan 21s which gained +0.15pt.
The NGERIA Corps were relatively mixed, with investors cherry-picking on the ZENITH 19s and 22s, while we witnessed slight sell on the DIAMBK 19s. Investors also picked on some ACCESS and FBNNL 21s.
