Macroeconomic Update: Inflation Report for July 2023

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August 15, 2023/Research & Strategy

Futureview Financial Services

In July 2023, the headline inflation rate surged to 24.08%, marking an increase from the June 2023 rate of 22.79%. Analyzing this movement, the July 2023 headline inflation exhibited a rise of 1.29 percentage points in comparison to the June 2023 figure. When examining the year-on-year perspective, the headline inflation rate for July 2023 was 4.44 percentage points higher than that of July 2022, which stood at 19.64%. This indicates a noticeable uptick in the year-on-year headline inflation rate for July 2023 compared to the same month in the preceding year, namely July 2022.

Furthermore, on a month-on-month basis, the headline inflation rate for July 2023 reached 2.89%, marking a 0.76 percentage point increase in contrast to the rate registered in June 2023 (2.13%). Essentially, this implies that the average general price level in July 2023 was 0.76% higher than that of June 2023.

URBAN INFLATION

From a year-on-year perspective, the urban inflation rate for July 2023 was 25.83%, presenting a significant 5.74 percentage point increase compared to the 20.09% recorded in July 2022. On a month-on-month basis, the urban inflation rate in July 2023 was 3.05%, demonstrating a 0.75 percentage point rise from June 2023 (2.31%). The corresponding twelve-month average urban inflation rate in July 2023 stood at 22.87%, indicating a substantial 5.59 percentage point increase from the 17.29% reported in July 2022.

RURAL INFLATION

The rural inflation rate for July 2023, observed on a year-on-year basis, reached 22.49%, marking a 3.26 percentage point increase compared to the 19.22% seen in July 2022. On a month-on-month basis, the rural inflation rate in July 2023 reached 2.74%, showing a growth of 0.78 percentage points from June 2023 (1.96%). The corresponding twelve-month average rural inflation rate for July 2023 was 21.04%, indicating a notable 4.79 percentage point increase from the 16.25% recorded in July 2022.

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